[global times - the web reporter NiHao] 2019 years "innovation economy BBS" opens in Beijing on November 21.This BBS theme of "new economy, new future".Vice
President of the China international economic and exchange center,
huang qifan, told the global times, the media reporters, such as the
United States based on the theory of the "end of thucydides trap"
provoke a trade war with China, the purpose is to constraint the
economic development of China's high-speed growth momentum.But he felt that a trade war against the interests of all parties in the world, the wise will not choose this kind of practice.
Mr. Huang said in an interview, global times - the web journalist Xie Rongbin/taken
The following is Mr. Huang told the global times and other media of records:
Sino-us trade friction has its inevitability, the necessity is to point to the U.S. government for fear of "end of thucydides trap", think of China as the world's second largest economy, has reached about 65% of all economic activity in the United States, and now the development speed is much higher than the United States.So another 10 or 15 years, China's economy will surpass the United States, the world's largest economies.So the "end of thucydides trap" in the United States of logical thinking, will think is a huge problem.
Then the United States to consider if they are not constrained the development of China's economic momentum at the moment, later any further not opportunity to have to live in China, let China become the world's superpower, the trend of the first big economies.So in this case, the part of the United States, a think-tank, policy makers, like a sino-us trade friction.So in this sense, this is a very narrow one kind of psychological.
In fact, China's peaceful rise, we even if in the future as the world's largest economy, the way we also peace or others, and build human destiny community around the world, mutual reciprocity and mutual benefit.We don't like the United States as the top power everywhere, everywhere have long arm jurisdiction and make all kinds of expansion or unreasonable behavior, everywhere we Chinese won't do such a thing.So, in this respect (that is, China's rapid economic rise, or even replace the United States) can't with little to drive a belly.
The second I want to say is, owing to provoke a trade dispute the inevitability of the emergence of the phenomenon, so, of course is also the long term.
Third, in terms of sino-us trade friction at this time, the United States exports to China $550 billion plus tariffs it has been more than a year, more than a year to have a dozen times negotiation between China and the United States.From now, the Chinese delegation to the United States is very effective, is in conformity with the trend direction.I think according to both sides since the announcement of the negotiation process information in October, late () in the future of sino-us trade negotiations should be cautious optimism, I believe that this wave of negotiation is there will be a very good results.Because, after all, in today's world tariff wars against anyone.Against China, against the United States, against the whole world, slightly rational (country) will give up tariff wars of this requirement.
Now under the global trade patterns, more than 70% are intermediates.That is a product might ultimately is hundreds of enterprises in the production together in dozens of countries.To a certain country tariff barriers, tariff war will make the whole industry chain, global supply chains, "sometimes-complex mix-and-match, I have you in the loss of common appear, and are likely to make the United States multinational companies around the world, the layout of the whole industry chain in China has dissolved.The small and medium-sized enterprises in these countries may fail, may be discontinued, produce certain losses.
But who the organization's industry chain?Who control the supply chain?At the end of the day, the loss is America's largest multinational companies.
About this passage means rational consideration, the world has not 30 years ago, 50 years ago that have high tariffs, trade war a dozen spirit of The Times.Now is "in the sometimes-complex mix-and-match, I have you," era of jagged, who also cannot leave the who, who also can't win the who, who also can't replace who.Who did not take advantage of who, so the americans said Chinese people take advantage of him, nonsense!In general trade, tariff wars that are unpopular.Both have no Chinese heart, I have no the heart, nor shall the heart of the world.Slightly rational politicians, policymakers would not implement.
